Published: 2021-08-31
Average Based Length Fuzzy Time Series Data Seasonal untuk Prediksi Volume Impor Migas Indonesia
DOI: 10.35870/jemensri.v6i1.1764
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Abstract
This study aims to predict the value of Indonesian oil and gas imports using the Fuzzy Time Series method of determining average-based intervals (Average Based Length). The data used in this research is annual periodic data from 2013-2021 which was downloaded from the bps.go.id website. The research results show that the volume value of oil and gas imports in Indonesia in January 2023 will reach 4125,802 thousand tons. This research can be concluded that the accuracy of the estimation is very good, producing a MAPE value of 8.04%. The MAPE value is defined as having very good estimation results if the MAPE value is <10%.
Keywords
FTS (Fuzzy Time Series) ; Data-Based Intervals ; Value of Oil Gas Imports ; MAPE
Article Information
This article has been peer-reviewed and published in the Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen dan Sekretari. The content is available under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
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Issue: Vol. 6 No. 1 (2021)
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Section: Articles
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Published: %750 %e, %2021
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License: CC BY 4.0
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Copyright: © 2023 Authors
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DOI: 10.35870/jemensri.v6i1.1764
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Adika Setia Brata
Program Studi Statistik, Institut Sains dan Teknologi Nahdlatul Ulama Bali Denpasar, Kota Denpasar, Provinsi Bali, Indonesia
Alfian Anhar
Program Studi Statistik, Institut Sains dan Teknologi Nahdlatul Ulama Bali Denpasar, Kota Denpasar, Provinsi Bali, Indonesia
Windy Lestari
Program Studi Statistik, Institut Sains dan Teknologi Nahdlatul Ulama Bali Denpasar, Kota Denpasar, Provinsi Bali, Indonesia
Melda Juliza
Program Studi Statistik, Institut Sains dan Teknologi Nahdlatul Ulama Bali Denpasar, Kota Denpasar, Provinsi Bali, Indonesia
Suci Rahmawati
Program Studi Sistem Informasi, Institut Sains dan Teknologi Nahdlatul Ulama Bali Denpasar, Kota Denpasar, Provinsi Bali, Indonesia
M Tantry Abeng Evan Nugroho
Program Studi Statistik, Institut Sains dan Teknologi Nahdlatul Ulama Bali Denpasar, Kota Denpasar, Provinsi Bali, Indonesia
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